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Event Update

Published Mar 9, 2020

Global equity markets including India, have taken further deep cuts today as a confluence of factors play out – Crude oil price war, spread of coronavirus and domestically the Yes Bank cookie crumbling. As we write this note, US S&P 500 is cooling at a circuit breaker down 7% today and down 17% from its…

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The Great Leveller

Published Mar 2, 2020

“The oldest and strongest emotion of mankind is fear, and the oldest and strongest kind of fear is the fear of the unkown” Not ironically, the quote is by a horror fiction writer. And the past week of equity markets may well have been scripted by someone like that. The newly identified coronavirus Covid19, that…

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Monetary Policy Review

Published Feb 7, 2020

Credit Push to Stressed Sectors, Repo Rate Unchanged The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) today decided to maintain the policy repo rate at 5.15% amid elevated inflation. The MPC decided to keep the monetary policy stance unchanged as “accommodative” with an objective of achieving a medium-term target for CPI of 4% within a band of…

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Will Risk Aversion Go Viral?

Published Feb 4, 2020

• Markets hoping coronavirus is SARS-like. • Bonds have discounted a more marked slowdown in global growth than equities. • Central bankers back in action but policy tools are quite blunt • Gold approaching $1600 remains an asset of choice The coronavirus continues to dominate the headlines and as yet still does not appear to…

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