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PMS Portfolio Review & Investment Outlook

Published Dec 10, 2018

We live in the best era in history to be an investor, but that doesn’t mean it will be easy. It’ll never be easy. Outlook An Election Cloud Descends Over the Markets Heading into 2019 First the good news. The Fed finally appears to be on hold, having hiked the U.S. and global economy into…

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Repo Rate Unchanged: 6.5%, Policy Tone Unchanged at “Calibrated Tightening”

Published Dec 5, 2018

The Reserve Bank of India today decided to maintain the policy repo rate at 6.5% unanimously. The MPC maintained its stance at “calibrated tightening” on monetary policy and commitment to achieving a medium-term target for CPI of 4% ± 2%, while supporting growth. Key highlights of the RBI’s Monetary Policy Global Macro Weakening Global economic…

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Crude Oil Impacts and Cross-market Linkages

Published Nov 26, 2018

Crude oil prices have fallen dramatically, with Brent falling 31% from a high of $86.2 to $58.8 in the past few weeks. The dramatic drop in prices has been precipitated by rising inventories, expectations of dramatically rising U.S. production in 2019, coupled with cooling global demand, leading to a supply demand mismatch. The volatility in…

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Reversals in Crude, Implications of Midterms and Earnings

Published Nov 12, 2018

In investing, what is comfortable is rarely profitable – Arnott 1954 A Holiday Gift for Investors The rapid decline in crude oil prices is a direct boost for businesses and consumers, and particularly for India as a crude oil importer. Brent crude is at the lowest levels it’s been since May 2018, with prices down…

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