market-commentary

MARKET COMMENTARY

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The Key Is Keeping People Employed

Apr 7, 2020

• The markets will have to absorb poor economic data as unemployment rises sharply and activity collapses • The depth of the economic slump dependent on people retaining their jobs and SMEs staying in business • Selective bond exposure the first port of call for new investment • Emerging Markets face big risks as the…

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Muddling Through COVID-19 crisis

Apr 6, 2020

Nobel Laureate Esther Duflo a couple of days ago said that uncertainties are giving rise to uncertainties. That statement best sums up the economic environment we are in currently. Is Covid19 one quarter or a one year problem? Will we have an extended lockdown or is the end in sight? Or is a shut-start-shut the…

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Delusional

Mar 30, 2020

• Despite last week’s rally in the equity market we see risks substantially to the downside • Remember that COVID-19 has only laid bare the problems of the global economy • We see no quick and easy way out of the challenges facing the markets • Listen to the medical specialists – the virus will…

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Monetary Policy Update

Mar 27, 2020

RBI Unveils Many Arms from Its Arsenal ‘Whatever it takes’ was given a whole new meaning today by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). It fired from every barrel to support the economy in its fight against slowdown triggered by the Covid19 pandemic. Interest Rates: The repo rate was slashed by 75 bps to 4.40%…

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